Trader’s Prophet Stock Picks
msgbartop
Stock Picks that give you an edge on the Market!
msgbarbottom

17 Nov 09 LEAP Options

Great Britain was finding it difficult to stay within the tight exchange rate band set by the European Monetary Union (EMU) in the early’90s. One person who made history with options was George Soros who is famously known as the man who broke the Bank of England.

George Soros is a famous name in the world of investing. He had always believed in contrarian investing. Contrarian investing means doing exactly opposite of what the crowd is doing. George Soros had this intuition that the Bank of England would be forced to devalue British Pound. So he bought call options on German Marks and put options on British Pound. He made a bet of $10 Billion by leveraging all the assets in his hedge fund.

Bank of England had made a number of public statements regarding its intention of staying within the EMU. When George Soros made his bet on the intrinsic weakness of British Pound, other currency speculators followed suit and placed their bets too. This build up an immense selling pressure on the British Pound! Bank of England was brought to its knees as it was unable to sustain the immense selling pressure on the British Pound within a few days of the speculative attack on the British Pound. Bank of England was forced to devalue British Pound in a few short days.

George Soros made a cool $1 Billion profit on his bet in a matter of a few days. When you a strong intuition, you should go for the big kill. Can you make such a bet? Maybe not but this one example show the immense power options have if used correctly. Options are risky; there should be no doubt about it.

Trading options has become hot in recent years especially after the recent stock market crash. What are options? Options derive their value from the underlying asset or security on which the options contract is based. Options contract give you the right to buy or sell an underlying security like stocks, futures, commodities or currencies at a price before a certain date. This price is known as the Strike Price. This date is known as the Expiry Date. However, in European Style options you can only buy or sell on the expiry date not before that. Most people who trade options lose money, plain and simple.

Trading options without training is risky. You need to learn the Options Greeks. One of the important things that you need to learn while trading options is the importance of time factor. Time factor is very important when valuing an option. Further out the options contract is from expiration, you will have to pay a higher premium. As the options contract approaches the expiration date and if it is out of money, it loses its value very fast.

Have your heard about the LEAP options? LEAP stands for long term equity anticipation. It basically means that the option is much like the regular option except that the timeframe to expire is greater than 1 year. LEAP options are basically long term options. Leap options can help you profit over the long haul. You can use LEAP options in options strategies like the covered calls, straddles, spreads and so on.

Moreover, the buyer of the LEAP options has the right to exercise the option prior to expiration should the price of the underlying stock move in the money. LEAP options are risky because the option writer usually demands a hefty premium for taking on the long term risk. However, LEAP options can be incredibly profitable if used correctly.

LEAP options can be a great trading vehicle for swing traders as they mitigate some of the time decay that is inherent in short term options. See, closer the out of money option is to expiration, faster its value drops. What this means is that the buyer of the options loses the premium that was paid for getting the right to buy or sell the underlying security.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Learn Candlestick Charting! Know Fibonacci Retracement! Grab a totally unique version of this article from the Uber Article Directory

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

09 Nov 09 Learning To Trade Multiple Timeframes

Have you ever traded multiple timeframes? No, then let me explain what multiple timeframe trading is. In multiple timeframe trading, a trader first looks at a longer timeframe like a monthly or weekly chart to determine the overall direction of the trend. Multiple time frame trading is a trading method used extensively by forex traders. It involves the use of multiple timeframes.

If the trader finds a decisive long term trend on this timeframe, he/she then decides to drill down to a shorter timeframe like the daily or 4 hourly chart to look for dips or pullbacks in the trend.

A minor downward retracement would represent a potentially high probability entry to get in the trend at a reasonably good price in a strong long term uptrend. Finally the trader may drill down to an even shorter timeframe like the 30 minutes or 15 minutes charts to pinpoint and time the exact entry.

Suppose, you are interested in trading multiple timeframes! You identify the retracement in an uptrend on a 4 hourly chart. What you need to do is to wait for a resistance breakout on a 15 minute chart in the direction of the trend before entering into a long position.

What make multiple timeframe trading so powerful is that it puts the traders on the right side of the market while also identifying the highest probability entries available.

Have you heard of the triple screen trading method? One of the multiple timeframe trading strategies is known as Triple Screen. A triple screen resolves the contradiction between the technical indicators and timeframes. The first screen is the long term charts and strategic decisions on long term charts are made using the trend following indicators.

The second screen is used to make technical decisions about entries and exits using oscillators. The second screen is the intermediate charts. Suppose your favorite timeframe is the 4 hour chart. Call it your intermediate time frame. The third screen can be an intermediate chart or a short term chart. The third screen is used to place buy and sell orders.

How do you decide what is intermediate and what is long term? Begin by looking at your favorite chart, the one that you use the most. Call it intermediate chart. In our case, the intermediate time frame is the 4 hour chart. Multiply its length by five to find the long term chart. A factor of 4-6 is more flexible and practical. Our long term chart is a daily chart (4X6=24 hours). Now use trend following indicators on the long term charts.

Staying out of the trade is a legitimate position. Use these trend following indicators in the long term charts to make your strategic decision to go long, short or stay out of the trade.

Return to the intermediate chart if the long term chart is bearish or bullish. Use oscillators to look for entry or exit points in the direction of the long term trend. Set stops and profit targets before you switch to short term charts to fine tune entries and exits.

On the short term chart look for the support/resistance breakout in the direction of the long term trend to pinpoint the trade entry! Use it on your demo account to get familiar with it before you trade live with the triple screen method. Triple screen is a simple but ingenious multiple timeframe approach to forex trading.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try This Cash Printing Forex Signal Service From Heaven! First practice on your Forex Demo Account! Visit the Uber Article Directory to get a totally unique version of this article for reprint.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

07 Nov 09 Fibonacci and Pivot Point Trading (Part II)

Beginning with the main Pivot Point that is calculated from the previous day’s key price points, the resulting support and resistance are subsequently derived from the following calculations. How is the pivot levels calculated? Beginning with the main Pivot Point that is calculated from the previous day’s key price points, the resulting support and resistance are subsequently derived from the following calculations:

Resistance 1 R1 = 2PP- Previous Low. Resistance 2 R2 = PP + (R1-S1). Resistance 2 R3 = Previous High + 2(PP-Previous Low).

Main Pivot Point PP = (Previous Low + Previous High + Previous Close)/3.

Support 3 S3 = Previous Low-2(Previous High -PP). Support 2 S2= PP- (R1-S1). Support 1 S1 = 2PP - Previous High.

After calculating these points they are plotted on the currency price chart. Trader’s can calculate the current days pivot points using the above formulas based on the previous day’s price data.

Breakouts or bounces may be traded with pivot points. Once these pivot levels are calculated and plotted, they are used in much the same way as Fibonacci Retracement. These pivot points are often also used as profit targets. Pivot points also indicate whether the market sentiment is bullish or bearish. Traders also use pivot points as reference levels to provide information as to whether the current price is relatively low or relatively high within its expected price range for the day.

You can further refine your pivot point levels by using the S1, R1 and other levels. S1, S2 and S3 as well as R1, R2 and R3 are used as references in pivot point trading. For example, traders may look for long trading opportunities with the view that the price will reasonably move towards equilibrium around the main PP level if the price is near the day’s S2.

You can also calculate the pivot levels for a week and for a month too. Instead of calculating the pivot points for the current day you can also calculate the above levels for 4 hour charts as well as 8 hour charts.

Both Fibonacci and Pivot Points are excellent technical tools that often encompass entire trading discipline in themselves. Just replace the day’s highs, lows and the closing prices with the appropriate time frame highs, lows and closing prices when calculating the pivot points for the other time frames.

In an extremely bullish market condition, the pivot point can become the target low for the trading session. This number represents the true value of a prior session. It is important to understand that it can be used as an actual trading number in determining the high or the low of a given time period, especially in strong bull or bear market conditions.

Pivot point trading has been successfully used by traders in making trading decisions. Traders will step in and buy the pullback until that pivot point is broken by prices trading below that level. A retracement back to the pivot will attract buyers if the market gaps higher above the pivot point in an uptrending market. The opposite is true for the pivot point will act as the target high for the session in an extremely bearish market condition.

What you need to understand is the market psychology at any particular point of time. If you can do that you can become a master trader. Understanding what the herd is doing can help you decide what to do and what not do in your trading. Technically speaking, in a bearish market, the highs should be lower and the lows should be lower than in the preceding time frame. Generally prices come back up to test the pivot point if a news-driven event causes the market to gap lower after traders take time interpreting the information and the news. Sellers will take action and start pressing the market lower again if the market fails to break that level and trade higher.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try These Cash Printing Forex Signals From Heaven! Learn Fibonacci Retracement Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

07 Nov 09 Trading Divergences

Price oscillator divergences have long been acknowledged by technical traders as a solid indicator of potential price reversals. But it doesn’t mean that divergences will always predict a reversal correctly. However, well defined divergences particularly on the long term charts can be surprisingly accurate in many instances.

Have you used divergence before in your trading? In case no than let’s me illustrate what a divergence is. Price divergence oscillators can be spotted with just two elements on the price charts. Catching a major price reversal at the correct time can be so profitable that only a few accurate divergence signals are needed to offset the inevitable false signals.

How do you determine a divergence? There are two elements in a divergence. The first element is the price and the second element is an oscillator that runs either above or below a price level. This second element can be Stochastics, RSI, MACD or any similar oscillator.

Many traders use Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD- pronounced McDee) as their sole confirming indicator. The MACD is among the most popular technical indicator or an oscillator invented.

MACD acts as a sign of trend momentum by representing the relationship between two moving averages. MACD is a multifaceted indicator. Some traders also take trading signals exclusively from MACD.

MACD is basically the difference between two moving averages. MACD can be traded by taking signals from the crossovers of two lines, crosses above and below the zero line. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) is another popular oscillator that provides a measure of price momentum.

RSI is an indicator that gives overbought and oversold signals in ranging markets. However, its usefulness like most other indicators tends to diminish during a trending market. RSI may also be used for divergence purposes. Stochastic indicator may also be used for divergence trading.

Technically speaking what is a divergence? When there is an imbalance between the price element and the oscillator element a divergence occurs. This is the point when the oscillator is providing a strong hint that price may be losing its momentum and a change in price direction may therefore be impending. Both the price action and the oscillator begin to go separate ways and start telling opposite stories.

There are two types of divergences. A bearish divergence occurs when the price hits a higher high while the oscillator hits a lower high. A bearish divergence is a hint for an impending reversal back down.

What does a bearish divergence means? It is an indication that price may soon turn and go back down as the higher high in the price may lose its momentum and begin falling in case of a bearish divergence.

A bullish divergence is an exact opposite of the bearish divergence. A bullish divergence occurs when price hits a lower low while the oscillator hits a corresponding higher low. A bullish divergence hints at an impending reversal back up.

Divergences are often used as hints of possible turns and reversals. However, divergences are not frequently used as a full fledged self sufficient trading strategy. When used in conjunction with other trading tools, divergences can be a remarkably effective method for helping to time major market events.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try These Cash Printing Forex Signals From Heaven! Learn Fibonacci Retracement Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

04 Nov 09 Pivot Point And Fibonacci Trading (Part I)

Some traders are diehard fans of the Fibonacci and pivot point trading. The use of Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points are often considered by their adherents as complete, self contained trading strategies.

The horizontal price levels that are generated through Fibonacci retracement levels and the pivot points are calculated using different methods and formulas. However, both produce mathematically derived support and resistance levels that traders may use either as indicators of possible retracement turns or as zones to watch for breakouts.

Why Fibonacci retracement levels and the pivot points work most of the time? One question that might bug your mind is that why these Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points work in the market. What is the secret behind this? What makes these tools work surprisingly well under diverse market conditions is the simple fact that many traders both small and large use Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points in their trading.

Therefore the levels derived from these two tools become self fulfilling prophecy. This is why significant price action occurs around these levels due to the fact that many traders are watching and reacting to these price levels.

The most common Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2% and 61.8%. These three Fibonacci retracement levels are most frequently followed by the traders. This phenomenon contributes to the Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points frequent effectiveness and accuracy in describing the market movement.

Very often, you will hear the commentary on CNBC or Bloomberg that price is approaching the 38.2% retracement level and something important like a turn could occur at this level. This shows the popularity of Fibonacci retracement levels among the trading community.

Both methods have clear cut locations for the stop loss placement similar to most support/resistance trading methods. Fibonacci retracements can be traded either as a breakout opportunity or as a retracement bounce. Fibonacci levels can also be used as profit targets for existing open trades.

Pivot points are derived mathematically from the previous day’s data that includes the previous day’s high. Low and close. The main pivot point (PP) is calculated by taking the average of the high, low and close of the previous days’ price action.

After calculating the main pivot point (PP), four other primary pivot points are calculated from the main pivot point (PP). Two are below the main PP. Two are above the main PP. The levels above are R1 and R2 where R stands for resistance.

The two levels below the main PP are the S1 and S2 where S stands for the Support. Often these pivot points are further extended to R3 and S3. You can easily find a pivot point calculator online. Most of the charting software also can calculate the pivot points.

Many trader use pivot points in their trading! Pivot point trading can be a highly profitable trading method. However, it is always good for the trader to know how these pivot point numbers are calculated. This will give the trader an understanding of how these numbers are calculated and what are the variables that are used to calculate them.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try These Cash Printing Forex Signals From Heaven! Learn Fibonacci Retracement Click here to get your own unique version of this article with free reprint rights.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

27 Oct 09 Understanding Spot Forex Market (Part I)

Of all the financial markets, spot forex market maybe considered as the most pure in the sense that supply and demand is strictly what determines the prices. Spot means that both the buyer and the sellers agree on a certain price and make the transaction on the spot without any delay. The spot forex market is an over the counter market. The spot forex market is a decentralized network of buyers and sellers. There is no physical central exchange that acts as a central clearing house.

Over the counter means that the buyers and sellers make a binding contract with each other after agreeing on the price and this is not carried through an exchange unlike the forex futures trading that is carried out through the exchange like CBOT, CME etc.

There are several advantages of a central exchange like the counterparty risk for the trades is reduced. There is trading anonymity something that big players want to hide their trails. Forex traders in the spot forex market carry out their activities by dialing directly with one another or through brokers on telephone or internet.

In 2007, Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) along with Reuters launched FXMarketSpace; the worlds first centrally cleared global forex market place. In this centrally cleared system, CME will act as the clearing house and guarantee the performance of all the contracts for both buyers and sellers.

Only sophisticated investors with net worth of more than $20 Million can trade on the FXMarketSpace. Unfortunately FXMarketSpace is an institutional trading platform and is not open to retail forex traders.

The spot forex market is still skewed against the retail forex trader. Recently NFA (National Futures Association) had also passed certain new rules that make it more skewed against the small investor like you and me. Why is it so?

Previously spot forex trading was the playfield of the big banks, multinationals and the hedge funds. With the advent of the internet, it became possible to introduce trading platforms for the retail investors.

The forex market differs from other traditional financial markets. Things deemed illegal in most of the other financial markets are simply considered part of the game in the forex market. Insider trading, front running, price shading etc are all regularly seen in forex trading and have no legal repercussions whatsoever. Retail spot forex is seeing a lot of growth in the recent years. A mushroom growth of online forex brokers took place. Many did not have even enough capital with them to start the brokerage business. Most of these forex brokers behave like bucket shops. But this is the way; the spot forex market has developed over the years.

Why these players trade forex? What type of advantages they have over the retail forex traders? It is essential for you that you understand the nature of the spot forex market and who are the main players.

Over the counter (OTC) means that the spot forex market is spread all over the globe with no central location! Over the counter nature (OTC) of the spot forex market means that currency transactions do not take place at any single place.

Players in the spot forex market range from those who trade billions of dollars daily to those who only trade just a few thousand dollars daily. A players access to the spot forex market depends on the quantity of transactions of large amounts of money. Now who are the main players in the forex market against whom you as a retail forex trader will be competing?

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Develop Your Own Forex Trading System!

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments

26 Oct 09 Complementary Candlesticks Guide

Candlesticks have become popular in the Western trading community especially the United States in the past decade. However, candlestick charting methods had been developed by Japanese rice traders hundreds of years back.

Internet made possible the availability of online trading to retail trading. The advent of internet has leveled the playing field for traders whether they trade stocks, futures, options, commodities, precious metals or currencies. In the last two decades there have been seismic changes in the way people used to trade. Access to the market is now only one mouse click away. Trade just by clicking your mouse!

Internet has made commission rates dramatically lower. Market information is now in most cases freely available online. The result is that a whole generation of new traders and investors want to try their luck beating the market.

I am a great fan of candlesticks charting and I have seen many traders both new and professionals becoming die hard fans of candlestick charting. Why? Because candlestick charting is the best tool available. Can you beat the market? It depends if you are using the right tools.

On your trading platform provided by most of the online brokers you will find various types of charts. There are many forms of charting techniques that have been developed over time. Why candlestick charting is superior to other forms of charting like the line charts, bar charts or point and figure charts? One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability. You can glance at a candlestick chart and quickly gain an understanding of whats going on with the price action in the market.

Opening and closing price levels can be a very important area of support and resistance from day to day. You can easily spot and opening and closing price of a security or currency on a candlestick chart.

This information can be extremely useful for short term traders like day traders and swing traders. There are certain specific candlestick patterns that can help you identify when is the best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade or investment.

Learning how to spot these candlestick patterns is very important for you. In order to trade and invest effectively using candlestick charts you need to understand these candlestick patterns. These candlestick patterns can be a real boon to your trading and you can combine them with other technical indicators for even more reliable results.

Many different types of candlestick patterns can tell you what may lie ahead in the market. Patterns appear on the candlestick charts as simple, single stick occurrences or complex multi stick formations.

Entry and exit are the two most important things in any trade. You may use the information provided by candlestick patterns to decide when to get into a trade, when to get out of a trade or even when to hang unto a trade you are already in. This information can be highly valuable in knowing that the prevailing trend might reverse or continue.

Download your 82 page candlestick guide here complete with strategy flash cards all free. This is the best candlestick guide in the market and you dont need to waste your money on buying a guide because this candlestick guide is a complementary gift for you from the Options University.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Download Your Free 82 Page PDF Candlestick Guide! Grab a totally unique version of this article from the Uber Article Directory

categories: forex,stocks,options,futures,finance,business,investing,trading,wealth building,credit,debt,commodities,real estate,home business

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Filed in Stock Options with 0 Comments
« Previous Posts
sidebartop

Recent Articles

sidebarbottom
sidebartop

Recent Comments

sidebarbottom
sidebartop

Top Commenters

sidebarbottom
sidebartop

Meta

sidebarbottom
sidebartop

What I'm Doing...

Posting tweet...

Powered by Twitter Tools.

sidebarbottom
how to stop foreclosure
Warning: main(/home/jjjust/public_html/suite/config.php) [function.main]: failed to open stream: No such file or directory in /home/jjjust/public_html/suite/_www/leDisplayLinks.php on line 8

Fatal error: main() [function.require]: Failed opening required '/home/jjjust/public_html/suite/config.php' (include_path='.:/usr/lib/php:/usr/local/lib/php') in /home/jjjust/public_html/suite/_www/leDisplayLinks.php on line 8
© Trader’s Prophet Stock Picks / Design: Smashing Wordpress Themes fl short sales | long movies | online marketing | short sale specialist