

There are strategies on whether to buy or sell in the money, at the money or out of the money options. There are questions of whether to be a buyer or seller, and to get puts or calls, and to be hedged or un-hedged. In addition, there’s also the question of WHEN to select the option. Do you select short term, or long term?
There are two views
One point of view is that you believe what Warren Buffet believes, and that’s that the pricing model is based too much on recent volatility, and that if you sell an option as far out in the future as possible when the volatility of the market/individual stock is at it’s peak, that with all things being equal, you will probably find that the volatility won’t return, and thus the buyer of the option is paying Too much. In addition, if you are Warren Buffet, you can depreciate your losses on paper, and use the sale of your options as capital to invest. If you are Warren Buffet, there’s a lot more value in having cash as you can achieve greater gains with that cash.
The other view is that long term options may cost more for volatility, but paying for 1 10 month option is cheaper then 10 1 month options at the same strike price. As a result, you should own long term options, and sell short term options, perhaps even with the same stock. If you buy a long term option, and sell short term, if at any given time, the price shoots up (and you sold short term calls), you can sell your long term option to pay for your short term option, then if you wish, repurchase the long term option and continue to write short term calls. You will continue to collect the theta.
I believe what Buffet believes to a certain extent. I believe that you should be a little concerned about the implied volatility and historical volatility. If a stock has had a lot of recent volatility, you should eventually expect that volatility to decline. If that does in fact happen, it may be more difficult to sell the value in calls to get your money back, but you still should. If you do not have the ability to borrow funds at the fed funds rate, or raise capital and so on, you will be better suited buying LEAPS and selling short term. That doesn’t necessarily mean both views can’t be correct. You could sell puts in times of high volatility in the S&P with European style options (must be held until expiration), and make money, or you could buy leap calls in that same period of time and make money. It’s even possible that you could also buy a put with the same expiration year (non European), and still sell enough short term puts to pay for it by then. I believe that buying short term options is the riskiest.
Well what if someone owns a stock and they write covered calls and the buyer actually does win. He will win more than he loses, the owner of the stock will forfeit his stock and lose a small amount, but where the heck does the money come from? The option buyer pays essentially a fee for the option, the option seller receives that fee, the option calls in the shares, and the share price is sold to someone who either paid too much for it, or someone who will eventually sell it to someone who paid too much for it. Someone will lose. However, it is possible for the option owners and option sellers to all win.
I would not want to be the one buying short term options, that requires expert knowledge about what is going to happen short term, or billions of dollars at your disposal to force the price of the stock up, and hope demand follows so you can win and still get out before people figure it out, or you could own a huge hedge fund or mutual fund and use that to try to chase a stock up higher while you sell out of that same stock. These are the kinds of games that can be played, which is why it wouldn’t make sense for someone who is smart enough and can figure stuff out to turn his money over to a mutual fund manager.
So it’s possible to make money as an option buyer and as a seller. The question is, does it fit with what you do, and do you know what you are doing?
Maclin Vestor teaches about varioustrading systems. You can even learn about gold trading systems, and buying Krugerrand at his blog.
Tags: buy stock, how to buy options, how to buy stock, option trading systems, options, stock, Stock Options, when to buy options, when to buy stock
Great Gamblers actually have a lot in common with great investors. They know excellent money management is the key to success. Their view is that as long as their money is on the table, it belongs to the game. Their Goal is often to get their own money off the table quickly, so they can play with the house’s money. In the investment world, a Covered call trading strategy is a good way to play with the house’s money. However, there are many different viewpoints. One is that you just find a good stock, and then if it trades options to just sell calls against it until the stock pays for itself. However this is a very limited viewpoint that doesn’t explain what a “good stock” is.
If you are typically a growth and momentum investor, you are generally relying on accelerating earnings and sales growth and price momentum and buying momentum to take over as the stock is bid higher. If you identify a good buy point this will NOT make a good covered call strategy.
The reason is, the premium on the option is generally based on recent volatility, and stocks that set up for a buy point typically consolidate as buyers take profit, sellers try to battle this stock back and buyers and sellers reach a stand still, then buyers gain momentum, and soon right near the buy point the buyers begin to take control. Sometimes the sellers will give-up, and cover their shorts, and the buyers will come in full force. This means that right before the buy point the stock’s premium is fairly low, and it’s not until after the stock breaks out that the price of the premium will be reflected based upon this volatility. In addition, this strategy is generally based on price appreciation. If you sell options on these stocks, you will limit your gain, and you will most likely not increase your potential very much. Generally the best strategy would be to sell out of the money options at your price target. However, generally this will net you a very small amount unless you are buying a lot of shares, and your fees per trade and per contract are very low. Even then, this is just adding a very small premium onto your shares, and usually isnt worth it as much. Instead, you may be better off learning to BUY options if this is your strategy.
On the other hand, If someone is not a momentum trader, and is going to buy stock s perhaps that just received upwards earning guidance, or if they have a strategy where they expect mild price appreciation, or if theyre just index investors, then perhaps a covered call strategy would work well. If you expect a mild price appreciation, you can sell out of the money options, and still gain from price appreciation up to the strike price, while also collecting a premium. Say you Identify a stock that is starting an upward or sideways channel, You are following a trend, you would want to identify the peak of that trend at expiration, and sell a call option near that strike price. This will allow you to adjust price targets, receive the capital appreciation gains, and also collect a premium.
Now generally covered call strategies are better for value investors, or even contrarian investors. You want a stock that you can own for a very long time, but is one that you dont anticipate any short term price appreciation. You can just collect premiums by selling at the money call options, or if you expect the stock to actually decline slightly at the moment, you can sell in the money options, hoping that the stock declines out of the money, and that you dont have to be assigned on your call. This way you can own the call and write another call option month to month, collecting income.
There are other strategies such as just collecting the maximum premiums that are available. This may be a bit dangerous since these are stocks that people expect to make big moves, and those moves arent always up. The price of a call and put are directly correlated, so just because a covered call will yield you a high percentage yield, doesnt mean it is worth it. It is generally associated with higher risks, and most likely, if the stock does go up, it will be a big move, you will be limited in only being able to collect the premium, and you could potentially lose everything if the stock tanks to zero. However, if you do enough research, seeking some of the top yielding covered call options is a good strategy, that can sometimes have you yielding around 10% a month. In addition, you may decide to use this to find stocks that are ready to move, and just buy the stock outright, avoiding additional costs associated with the option (such as the time premium and extra brokerage fees), and still allowing you to profit from the gains. Or perhaps you want to identify the stock and just buy out of the money calls.
Ultimately its up to you to pick a strategy you understand, and learn as much as you can, taking whatever courses you need to and educating yourself so that you are prepared to make money in a way that works for you.
Maclin Vestor teaches about varioustrading systems and teaches you to find a trading system that works for you.
Tags: forex trading systems, futures trading system, invest, option, option market, option trading systems, stock, stock market, Stock Options, stock trading system, trading system, trading systems









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